Method
For each column on the board: the source, the method, the cadence, and the known weaknesses. Below that, the live status of every source.
Peg gap
- Source
- Two prices. The reference price is Chainlink, where a Chainlink feed exists for the stock. The pool price is the deepest USDG pool for the token on Robinhood Chain. USDG is a dollar token.
- Method
- Pool price divided by reference price, minus one. Positive is a premium. Negative is a discount. For SPCX the reference is Robinhood's own price, because SpaceX is a private company with no public share price. For a token with no oracle, such as HIMS today, there is no reference price and the cell is blank.
- Cadence
- Every 5 minutes. A reading older than 30 minutes is stale and the cell goes blank.
- Known weaknesses
- Chainlink feeds for stocks can pause outside market hours or report the last close. The deepest pool can change. A thin pool can show a price no one could actually trade at in size.
Float share in meme pools
- Source
- Token balances of the listed meme pools, and the token's total supply, read from Robinhood Chain. For Uniswap v4 pools the reserves come from an external index, Dexscreener, because v4 pools keep no per-pool balance on chain.
- Method
- Sum of the token balances held by the listed meme pools, divided by total supply. The pools counted are named in the legend on each ticker page.
- Cadence
- Every hour. A reading older than 3 hours is stale and the cell goes blank.
- Known weaknesses
- The list of meme pools is kept by hand. A new pool is not counted until it is added. Dexscreener is a third party and can lag or be wrong. Total supply counts tokens held by the custodian itself, if any.
Mints and burns, last 24 hours
- Source
- Token transfer events on Robinhood Chain.
- Method
- A mint is a transfer from the zero address. A burn is a transfer to the zero address. We count them and sum their amounts over the last 24 hours.
- Cadence
- Continuous, checked every 10 minutes. If the transfer feed has not reported in 15 minutes, the column goes blank, because a zero could mean "no mints" or "we were not looking."
- Known weaknesses
- Some custodians mint to a treasury address first and release later. That shows up as a mint before any token reaches the market.
Label
- Source
- Computed from the two columns above.
- Method
- Fine: peg gap inside 2%. Watch: gap between 2% and 5%, or float share over 30%. Depegged: gap over 5%. No reference price: the token has no oracle. If the peg gap is blank for any other reason, the label is blank with the same reason.
- Cadence
- Same as the peg gap.
- Known weaknesses
- Thresholds are fixed round numbers. They are not tuned per token.
Episodes
- Source
- The stored peg gap series, plus the float and transfer series.
- Method
- An episode opens when the gap passes 5% in either direction and closes when it comes back inside 2%. We record the peak, the float share at open, and how it closed. "Mint" means a mint or burn happened within 6 hours of the close. Otherwise "faded." Episodes are recomputed from the stored series every time new data arrives. If readings stop while an episode is open, it is marked "data gap" at the last reading and nothing new is opened until readings resume.
- Cadence
- On every ingest.
- Known weaknesses
- A gap that hovers around 5% can open several short episodes. A mint near a close does not prove the mint caused the close.
Live source status
Each source, its last successful read, and whether that is within its cadence. "Within cadence" means the last read is no older than one and a half times the expected interval.
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The rule: if we can't measure it, the cell is blank.